May 2005


U.S. Nuclear Weapons Complex:
Homeland Security Opportunities
Summary
As internal tests and analyses have shown, the Department of Energy cannot adequately protect America ’s voluminous stockpile of weapons grade nuclear material, which is housed at 13 locations throughout the country. In the post-9/11 era, we know that suicidal terrorists are capable of massive attacks – the worst possible scenario would be terrorists penetrating a nuclear facility and building an improvised nuclear bomb, which could have a similar force of the Hiroshima blast. In this report, POGO makes recommendations that will reduce the number of sites containing these nuclear materials from 13 down to seven.




Executive Summary
Map of Current Sites Where Special Nuclear Materials Exist
Introduction
Chart: DOE Category I (CATI) Sites
The Threat of a Nuclear Detonation in the United States: Improvised Nuclear Devices
Secretary Abraham's Initiatives
The History of Consolidation: Report After Report Makes the Case
Final Disposition of Special Nuclear Materials
Cost Savings Through Consolidation
Map of POGO's Recommendations for Consolidation of Special Nuclear Material
Sites That Should Be De-Inventoried Immediately
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
Oak Ridge National Laboratory
Los Alamos National Laboratory's Technical Area 18
Sandia National Laboratory
Hanford Reservation
Sites with Inadequate Security Standards
Nuclear Fuel Services
Nuclear Products Division of BWXT
On-Site Consolidation Opportunities
Y-12 Facility at Oak Ridge
Pantex Plant
Unused Secure Storage Sites
Device Assembly Facility (DAF) at the Nevada Test Site
Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory (INEEL)
Facilities That Should Ultimately Be De-Inventoried
Argonne National Laboratory, West
Savannah River Site
Glossary
Endnotes
Appendices


Executive Summary

The Department of Energy (DOE) maintains its stockpile of Special Nuclear Materials (SNM) at 13 laboratories and facilities nationwide. Many of these sites store materials in World War II- and 1950s-era buildings that were never designed to deter modern-day terrorist assaults. Moreover, many of these sites no longer need Special Nuclear Materials to fulfill a national security mission, but store them at great cost and risk.

Current Sites Where Special Nuclear Materials* Exist

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(high resolution file)
Security experts’ greatest concern is that a suicidal terrorist group would reach its target at one of the facilities and, in an extremely short time, create an improvised nuclear bomb on site.  It is only now becoming known outside DOE how easily this could be accomplished: using a critical mass (about 100 pounds) of highly-enriched uranium, a terrorist could trigger a detonation of a magnitude close to that which devastated Hiroshima. One site alone stores 400 metric tons of this material. The possibility of this scenario was a primary motivation for the DOE’s decision to significantly increase security requirements at nuclear weapons facilities last year.

Starting in 2008, security forces at facilities storing Special Nuclear Materials must be able to repel an assault by more than three times the number of attackers they had to be prepared for prior to 9/11, involving far more lethal weapons and truck bombs. The increased requirements will place a heavy financial burden on the American taxpayer at a time of fiscal constraint. While increased security is unquestionably necessary, some changes to the current configuration of the nuclear weapons complex could actually make it more secure for less money.

In consultation with security experts throughout the federal government, the Project On Government Oversight conducted an investigation to determine how nuclear weapons sites could best meet the new security requirements while also lessening the financial impact of improvements. The results of this investigation have found that by disposing of excess nuclear materials and by consolidating the remaining materials to fewer and more easily-defended locations, the government could save nearly three billion dollars over three years while also better protecting the public from terrorist threats.

SITES THAT SHOULD BE DE-INVENTORIED IMMEDIATELY

POGO's recommendations for consolidation
of special nuclear materials*

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(high resolution file)
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. Department officials admit that weapons being used to protect Livermore are not as lethal as those required at other nuclear facilities. This is because houses have now been built across the street from the Lab, some of which are only 800 yards from the building storing plutonium. Without adequate protection, a possible nuclear incident at Livermore puts in danger the population of seven million residents living within 50 miles of the Lab. POGO recommends removing the site’s weapons-grade nuclear materials. SAVINGS:  $375-$385 million

Oak Ridge National Laboratory. Oak Ridge stores one thousand cans of Uranium-233, a material that is just as potent and dangerous as highly-enriched uranium for making an improvised nuclear bomb. Despite this, the site does not have basic security measures in place, including fences and SWAT-capable protective forces. In 2004, the Lab failed a self-assessment security test – with “attackers” successfully breaching security at the Lab and “killing” the entire protective force in 90 seconds. The U-233 should be moved immediately to Y-12 where it can be appropriately secured. Priority attention needs to be paid to whether or not medical isotopes (i.e. Thorium) can be extracted economically from Uranium-233 and, if so, commit to accomplishing this immediately. Once resolved either way, the U-233 should be downblended as quickly as possible. SAVINGS: $290 million

Los Alamos National Laboratory’s Technical Area 18. Widely recognized as the most vulnerable site in the nuclear weapons complex, TA-18 is scheduled to be de-inventoried of weapons-grade nuclear materials by the end of 2005. However, LANL is pushing to continue activities at TA-18, further postponing the move at least six months. Furthermore, some of the surplus material will be stored at the Los Alamos ’ Technical Area 55 until 2008. Instead, POGO recommends that all material be moved to the Device Assembly Facility at the Nevada Test Site by the end of FY2005. SAVINGS: $370 million

Sandia National Laboratory. DOE planned to de-inventory Sandia of weapons-grade materials by 2007. However, in recent months, safety problems have arisen which are likely irreconcilable and place the public at great risk. Furthermore, Sandia’s burst reactor experiments can be conducted at other facilities. As a result, POGO recommends that Sandia be immediately de-inventoried. SAVINGS: $275 million

Hanford Reservation.  Hanford has retained a large quantity of plutonium that is not scheduled to be moved until 2007, and some from the Los Alamos Molten Plutonium Reactor Experiment for which there are no plans for removal or disposition at all. This is of particular concern, as Hanford failed a force-on-force exercise after 9/11. POGO recommends the remaining weapons-grade plutonium be moved to Savannah River immediately. SAVINGS: $295 million

SITES WITH INADEQUATE SECURITY STANDARDS

Nuclear Fuel Services and the Nuclear Products Division of BWXT.  These are commercially-operated facilities that provide nuclear fuel for the Office of Naval Reactors. Unfortunately, although DOE materials are stored at these sites, they are secured and tested under the much lower standards of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. Security has not been tested by the government since 1998 at Nuclear Fuel Services. POGO recommends that both sites have the same security requirements as other sites storing weapons-grade nuclear materials and that oversight be moved to the DOE. COST: $180 million each site, $360 million total

ON-SITE CONSOLIDATION OPPORTUNITIES

Y-12 Facility at Oak Ridge. This plant, located outside Knoxville, Tennessee, is home to the nation’s stockpile of highly-enriched uranium (HEU), the most attractive material for terrorists who want to create an improvised nuclear explosion. The current plan is to build two above-ground facilities, despite concerns that the design is less secure and more expensive than one underground facility. POGO recommends consolidating weapons-grade materials to a single underground or bermed (covered with earth) facility at Y-12; accelerate the plan to downblend 174 metric tons of excess HEU; and consider declaring an additional 100 metric tons of HEU excess and available for downblending to make it less attractive to terrorists. SAVINGS: $1.2-1.67 billion

Pantex Plant. Pantex stores thousands of plutonium pits in World War II-era bunkers located at the end of an Amarillo airport runway, creating an optimal terrorist target. Since these pits will never be used, they should be immobilized so that they are no longer available to suicidal terrorists. In the mean time, plutonium should be better secured at a location away from the airport or in an underground facility. SAVINGS: $140 million

UNUSED SECURE STORAGE SITES

Device Assembly Facility (DAF) at the Nevada Test Site. Special Nuclear Materials from the notorious Los Alamos TA-18 are now being shipped to the DAF, the most secure storage facility in the country. However, DOE’s National Nuclear Security Administration and security contractor Wackenhut have not increased security in preparation for these shipments. As a result, the site failed a mock terrorist test in 2004. POGO recommends increasing the size of the protective force, and improving training and defensive strategy at the site. COST: $90 million

Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory (INEEL). INEEL is one of only two facilities in the entire nuclear weapons complex to actually have an appropriately-secure underground repository for Special Nuclear Materials. The great irony is that this is the only site in the complex expected to meet its schedule for de-inventorying (by Summer 2005). In fact, the facility was slated for “rubblization” until only recently, when government officials realized this facility might fulfill most needs for underground storage for the complex. POGO recommends preparing the underground facility to store plutonium and highly-enriched uranium. A relatively modest investment in this facility would pay for itself in six years. COST: $150 million

FACILITIES THAT SHOULD ULTIMATELY BE DE-INVENTORIED

Argonne National Laboratory, West. Argonne West is building a new facility to store plutonium for a NASA space program.  The Lab also stores more than nine tons of highly-enriched uranium and plutonium, although it has no weapons-related need for this material. Two years ago, the Lab’s security was found to be unsatisfactory, and it continues to have trouble developing updated security plans. POGO recommends de-inventorying Argonne West and moving the NASA-related materials to an existing building at the Idaho National Lab (formerly INEEL). SAVINGS: $75 million

Savannah River Site. Savannah River is home to the nation’s stockpile of plutonium. Although a plan had been under way to consolidate materials to one building, DOE has proposed several new facilities to house plutonium, including one that would be used to convert plutonium into nuclear power plant fuel. POGO recommends that DOE consider relocating any proposed new facilities to Pantex, and that Savannah River ultimately be de-inventoried by moving plutonium to one of the secure storage sites at the Idaho National Lab or the Nevada Test Site. In addition, the amount of plutonium declared excess should be more than doubled and made unusable by terrorists by immobilizing it. SAVINGS: $460 million


Introduction
Current Sites Where Special Nuclear Materials* Exist
*Category I and II weapons grade plutonium and
highly-enriched uranium

click on map above for larger view (high resolution file)

“The Nations of the world must do all we can to secure and eliminate … nuclear materials.”

-- President George W. Bush in remarks at the National Defense University , February 11, 2004.[1]

After 9/11, when we learned that terrorists are far more capable than had previously been imagined, officials viewed the security of the Department of Energy’s (DOE) nuclear weapons facilities in a whole new light. While there will continue to be political debates regarding the mission of the nuclear weapons complex, there is no longer any debate about the fact that these facilities have certain vulnerabilities, and pose risks to public health and safety, unlike any other sector in the country.  It is critical that these risks and vulnerabilities be reduced as much as possible, and as quickly as possible.  This means reducing the number of targets and reducing the stockpiles of excess nuclear materials.

The Department maintains its stockpile of nuclear weapons quantities of bomb-grade plutonium and highly-enriched uranium (commonly known as “Special Nuclear Materials” or SNM) at 13 locations.  Because of the fearsome capacity of these materials, any facility storing them is classified as a Category I (CAT I) site.

DOE Category I (CAT I) Sites
  • Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in Livermore, California
  • Y-12 National Security Complex in Oak Ridge, Tennessee
  • Los Alamos National Laboratory in Los Alamos, New Mexico
  • Sandia National Laboratory in Albuquerque, New Mexico
  • Savannah River Site near Aiken, South Carolina
  • Pantex Plant in Amarillo, Texas
  • Nevada Test Site, north of Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Hanford Reservation near Richland, Washington
  • Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory,
    west of Idaho Falls, Idaho
  • Argonne National Laboratory West, west of Idaho Falls, Idaho
  • Oak Ridge National Laboratory in Oak Ridge, Tennessee
  • Nuclear Products Division of BWXT in Lynchburg, Virginia
  • Nuclear Fuel Services in Erwin, Tennessee


The DOE owns eleven of these sites: seven are run by the National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA), and four by the Office of Energy, Science and Environment (ESE). The sites in Lynchburg, Virginia and Erwin, Tennessee are commercially owned. Although the commercially-owned sites are primarily funded by DOE’s Office of Naval Reactors, they are licensed by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC). The security for these two sites is tested by the far less demanding NRC, using a security standard, or Design Basis Threat (DBT),[2] which appears to be weaker than that applied to DOE facilities.  For instance, security at the Nuclear Fuel Services has not been tested by the NRC since 1998.

Many of the Category I sites store their Special Nuclear Materials in inadequately secured World War II and 1950s-era buildings that were never designed for long term storage or with modern-day terrorist threats in mind. Moreover, many of these labs and facilities do not need Special Nuclear Material for their mission, but are simply storing these materials – at great cost and risk to the health and safety of the public.

In 2003 and 2004, several hearings were held by the House Government Reform Subcommittee on National Security and the House Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations.  At one of the hearings, the Government Accountability Office (GAO) reported back to National Security Subcommittee Chairman Chris Shays (R-CT), who had requested a wide-ranging review of security at the nuclear weapons complex. The Congressional investigators’ testimony was unusually critical of security at NNSA sites.[3]  The GAO's review of security at the ESE sites is expected in June 2005. The Senate has remained largely silent on the subject.

On September 14, 2004, DOE Headquarters in Washington, D.C., sent a directive to all sites in the nuclear weapons complex ordering a significant increase in their security posture (known as the Design Basis Threat, or DBT). The intent was to require better protection for sites containing weapons quantities of plutonium and highly-enriched uranium. This move was codified in October when then-Energy Secretary Spencer Abraham officially announced the increase in requirements, the second since 9/11.[4] Under the new requirements, security forces will have to be prepared to repel more than three times the number of attackers they were required to protect against prior to 9/11. Furthermore, it will be assumed that adversaries will be using far more lethal weapons and much larger truck bombs than had previously been considered.

Yet the new standards will not be fully implemented until 2008 – seven years after 9/11. The NNSA estimates that for its seven sites the new security plans will cost $500 million annually in manpower alone.[5] This does not include further technological upgrades such as more secure storage facilities, activated barriers[6], high-tech sensors, cameras and other infrastructural improvements. For instance, a line of two fences with sensors and cameras between them[7] would cost each site, on average, $14,000 per linear foot.


The Threat of a Nuclear Detonation in the United States: Improvised Nuclear Devices

“The gravest danger, however, and the one requiring urgent attention is the possibility that terrorists could obtain highly-enriched uranium or plutonium for use in an improvised nuclear device. This book correctly highlights the priority of securing, consolidating, and eliminating HEU, while maintaining rigorous security around plutonium.”

-- Senator Richard Lugar (R-IN) and former Senator Sam Nunn (D-GA), 2004.[8]

An array of concerns arises when it comes to securing America’s nuclear material. But security experts’ greatest fear is very distinct: a terrorist group successfully reaches its target at one of the facilities and within minutes uses the highly-enriched uranium (HEU) to create an improvised nuclear bomb on site (known as an Improvised Nuclear Device, or IND).[9] 

In October 2001, the Project On Government Oversight ( POGO ) issued its report “U.S. Nuclear Weapons Complex: Security at Risk” recommending, among other things, consolidation of the Department’s HEU and plutonium. This report included the first public discussion of Improvised Nuclear Devices (IND), the simplicity with which they could be assembled and detonated, and the dangers they posed to the areas surrounding the sites that store HEU and plutonium. With little public awareness of the IND problem, DOE had been able to ignore it by classifying discussion of the vulnerability as a “Special Access Program” or SAP.  For decades, only a select few government officials were allowed to discuss INDs.  Even the name of the SAP was classified.[10]  Despite the devastating security concerns raised by INDs, one DOE official articulated the head-in-the-sand approach to this problem in a 1999 meeting, saying, “We were told by Headquarters not to spend a cent on this problem.”[11]

Highly-enriched uranium would clearly be the material of choice to create an IND. It only takes a critical mass (about one hundred pounds) of HEU to create an IND.[12] One site alone stores about 400 metric tons of HEU. INDs are frequently referred to as a “gun type” weapon – firing a piece of HEU at another piece to create a chain reaction. This was the method used to create the Hiroshima bomb. Using the same theory, terrorists could create a crude IND by taking two pieces of HEU and slamming them together with conventional explosives. In fact, a far more crude IND can be created even without the use of explosives. This nearly happened accidentally at Y-12 years ago.  As Nobel Prize-winning physicist Luis Alvarez explained it:

With modern weapons-grade uranium, the background neutron rate is so low that terrorists, if they had such material, would have a good chance of setting off a high-yield explosion simply by dropping one half of the material onto the other half.  Most people seem unaware that if separated U-235 is at hand, it’s a trivial job to set off a nuclear explosion.  . . . Given a supply of U-235 . . . even a high school kid could make a bomb in short order.[13]

According to Princeton University ’s Frank von Hippel, “a 100-pound mass of uranium dropped on a second 100-pound mass, from a height of about 6 feet, could produce a blast of 5 to10 kilotons.”[14]  The blast from the Hiroshima atomic bomb was only slightly larger, and it killed over 200,000 people.

Two other nuclear materials exist that have the same properties as highly-enriched uranium in that they can be used to create an IND – Neptunium-237 and Uranium-233.[15]

Several DOE sites store substantial amounts of Neptunium-237, but DOE has been silent on whether these materials need to be protected at the new DBT levels. Neptunium-237 is produced in nuclear power reactors as a byproduct of the chain reaction.  It has a very low neutron background and can be chemically separated out of spent reactor fuel using basic chemistry rather than the large and expensive processes required to enrich uranium. According to a Los Alamos press release, in 2002 Los Alamos demonstrated that the critical mass of Neptunium-237 is about 60kg. A bomb with a large yield could therefore be made with less than 2 critical masses of Neptunium-237 (but more than 60 kg total). (APPENDIX A) As a result, Neptunium-237 is not simply the valueless byproduct of a chain reaction, as previously thought. Instead, it can be a dangerous nuclear material that is attractive to terrorists.

It was during the 1990s that the DOE became concerned about the potential of neptunium as an isotope that could be used in the creation of a nuclear weapon.  U.S. officials had several meetings with the U.N. International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) about imposing new protection standards for neptunium as a Special Nuclear Material.  Although they resisted at first, citing concerns that neptunium abounds worldwide, in 1999 the IAEA at least began to regard it as an “alternate nuclear material” requiring tracking but not safeguarding. [16]

Another such material that has fallen below the radar is Uranium-233. This material was produced by the nuclear weapons complex as a byproduct of the weapons program. Although DOE does not yet publicly acknowledge the risk, senior nuclear engineers advise POGO that in sufficient quantities, U-233 can be as potent and dangerous as highly-enriched uranium for making an improvised nuclear bomb.  According to the private Nuclear Threat Initiative, “The properties of U-233 as a nuclear explosive would seem to make it quite attractive to bomb-makers.”[17] Until recently, U-233, which is typically contaminated with highly radioactive U-232, had been considered too hazardous to be a security risk – it was considered “self-protecting” against theft because a person could die from handling it.  However, 9/11 has taught us that many terrorists are willing to die to inflict the maximum damage to their targets.  The radioactivity can no longer be viewed as an obstacle because a terrorist would still have enough time to set off an IND before dying from the radiation, given the relatively short amount of time needed to assemble an IND.

In addition to detonating an IND on site, terrorists could steal weapons quantities of plutonium or highly-enriched uranium and detonate a crude nuclear weapon in a major American city.  Terrorists could also simply attack a facility and detonate conventional explosives in the nuclear material storage rooms to create a radiological dispersal device or “dirty bomb” sending radiation downwind, putting thousands of lives at risk and creating unimaginable property damage.  However, an IND is orders of magnitude more devastating than a “dirty bomb.”

The DOE has now recognized the potential threat posed by INDs. In fact, the possibility of an IND detonation at a number of sites around the complex was a primary motivation for the dramatic increase in the Design Basis Threat in 2004.


Secretary Abraham’s Initiatives

In May 2004, then-Secretary Abraham announced some bold initiatives for improving the security of the entire nuclear weapons complex. Faced with an inadequate security program, Abraham acknowledged and began to address many of the weaknesses. (APPENDIX B)

The initiatives included considering declaring an additional 100 metric tons of highly-enriched uranium to be surplus, and downblending the HEU to make it unattractive to terrorists.[18] Abraham also encouraged consolidating nuclear materials: “Ultimately, I believe we need to both reduce the number of sites with Special Nuclear Material to the absolute minimum, consistent with carrying out our missions, and to consolidate the material in each of those sites to better safeguard that material.” Specifically, he recommended considering removing weapons-grade material from Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory and Sandia National Laboratory.

Shortly thereafter, Abraham took the dramatic step of significantly increasing security standards around the complex.

However, there is a major problem with these initiatives: the former Secretary failed to establish timely deadlines for their implementation and, as a result, many of these initiatives have now stalled.  To get back on track, current DOE Secretary Samuel Bodman has several issues he needs to address. First, he needs to set strict deadlines and, because officials throughout the nuclear weapons complex have strongly resisted any change, he needs to assign trusted staff to constantly follow up on the progress.  Adding to the current bureaucratic inertia is the belief by those inside the complex that they can just wait out any new directives until the current Secretary has moved on, and the status quo can be maintained. There is also the lack of incentive to change created by the revolving door between the Department of Energy and the weapons labs, particularly at the NNSA.  It creates an insular environment in which people coming into the DOE bring with them their biases in favor of the status quo: no one likes to criticize their own actions.

DOE’s Office of Safety and Security Performance Assurance Director Glenn Podonsky was entrusted with keeping track of the status of these initiatives. He was also tasked with conducting Site Assistance Visits at each of the Category I sites in order to determine recommendations for consolidation options, such as the material “remains at current location, is consolidated, material is moved off-site, etc.” (APPENDIX C) This effort will be an invaluable tool for determining opportunities for consolidating nuclear materials in the complex.  It should also highlight the security upgrades and commensurate additional expenditures necessary for those facilities that will continue to maintain Special Nuclear Materials.


The History of Consolidation: Report After Report Makes the Case

Proposals to consolidate and secure America ’s nuclear arsenal have long been on the table. In the past ten years alone, the DOE has spent millions of dollars on security reviews by various commissions. Most of these reviews supported consolidation.

For instance, in 1999, the classified Hagengruber Report strongly recommended consolidation and building underground storage facilities at Y-12 and Savannah River . According to several sources who read the report, it recommended using the Air Force’s KUMSEC underground storage facility in New Mexico and the bermed Device Assembly Facility in Nevada as design templates for storing nuclear materials, rather than spending millions of dollars on unique designs for each site in the complex.

Another study was done in 2001-2002, after the National Security Council and the Department of Defense (DOD) ordered a review of the security of the entire U.S. nuclear weapons program, including DOE’s nuclear weapons sites and the DOD’s storage sites, deployed nuclear weapons, and nuclear submarines.[19] Again, government officials found significant security problems at DOE sites. And in 2003, amid criticism of security failures at the weapons labs, NNSA Administrator Linton Brooks commissioned yet another review of security. The report has, at this time, been in draft form for more than six months. The next year, in May 2004, then-Secretary Abraham ordered NNSA to develop an analysis of what the complex should look like over the next 25 years. POGO has been told that NNSA has just begun this analysis—nine months after they were assigned the task.




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